Tag: geopolitics
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Foreign Interference Gets an Upgrade
AI has upgraded foreign election interference from a decade-long intelligence operation to a months-long technical project. What changed and what the 2026 cycle reveals.
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The Disinformation Factory Goes Automated
AI-powered disinformation campaigns have scaled beyond what human operations ever could. The 2026 election cycle shows what happens when propaganda becomes automated.
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The History of Economic Sanctions and Trade Warfare
A historical survey of economic sanctions and trade warfare from antiquity to the present day, examining why coercive economic statecraft so rarely achieves its political objectives. From the Megarian Decree to Napoleon's Continental System and the League of Nations' failed response to Italian aggression, the record is uniformly sobering.
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Predicting the Price of Bread
AI food price forecasting is improving rapidly. The geopolitical and equity implications of who owns these models are more consequential than the technical achievements.
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China's AI Governance Strategy Is Smarter Than the West Admits
China's AI regulations predate the EU AI Act. Some mechanisms are more coherent than Western critics admit — here's an honest read of what they actually say.
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Every Nation That Dominated One Tech Era Got Left Behind in the Next
The nation that wins one technology era almost never wins the next. This pattern from 1850 to today has massive implications for AI geopolitics.
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The Country That Will Win AI Without Building a Single Model
Singapore, the UAE, and a few other nations are becoming AI application hubs and compute centers without competing in frontier model development — and winning.
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The Semiconductor Shortage Was a Dress Rehearsal. The Real Crisis Is Coming.
The 2021 chip shortage revealed civilization's dependence on Taiwan's semiconductor fabs. A Taiwan Strait conflict would be categorically more devastating.
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The Countries Being Left Behind by AI (And Why That Should Terrify Everyone)
AI is concentrating in the US, China, and EU while most nations are excluded — with sovereignty implications as serious as colonial-era extraction dynamics.
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How China Built a Parallel Internet (And Why It's Actually Better for AI)
China's internet isolation forced the creation of massive Chinese-language datasets that Western companies lack, creating unexpected AI training advantages nobody planned for.
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The Country That Holds the AI Supply Chain Hostage
ASML and the Netherlands hold extraordinary leverage over the global semiconductor supply chain. How a small country accidentally acquired geopolitical power it never wanted.
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The Chip That Started the Second Cold War
The US export ban on advanced semiconductors to China triggered a geopolitical restructuring that rivals the original Cold War in its global consequences.